Rut Rhow…GOP is in trouble
New and very interesting polling data from Democracy Corps (and yes, it’s a Democratic polling company but I’ll explain to you why this data looks pretty clean) showing a big disconnect between the voters and GOP congressmembers - maybe even bigger than the current conventional wisdom having the Dems pick up 25 seats in the house and five or six in the U.S. Sentate.
Okay, so why should GOP’ers be worried about a Democrat poll? Because this looks like the kind of polling campaigns and parties do internally — accurate snapshots to make decisions where the money is going to go. Those polled for this voted for George W. Bush over John Kerry by five points, the same as the final result of the election. But since many of the seats in jeopardy for the GOP are in districts that largely performed better than that in terms of Kerry, there has to be some flop sweat for GOP Bossman Ken Muhlman.
Maybe more interesting for those of you who don’t want to dig into the numbers is the demographics of the poll, which, to me seem skewed a bit old (which should have hurt the Democratic polling data). Also, this polling data used the actual name of the local candidates instead of the usual generic party tag, used in the vast majority of polls released.
For poll junkies — and we know you’re out there — this is the kind of revealing data we rarely get to see if we’re not on a campang staff.